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And that brings us to the second prediction, which is that this would be really, really good for Bashar Assad. But the rest of the place is going to break away. Well, once the Russians came in in , Assad actually was able to spread his wings, regain control, except in this one area, in this one part near critical oil supplies, near a lot of the other wealth that he needs for his regime, that was being controlled by the Kurds, and the Kurds were backed by the Americans. And the only thing standing between Assad and controlling this area was the fact that he would have to go take on the Americans who were in the region, even though it was a very small number.

So what exactly did Assad do once the U. Well, he moves to get his country back. He literally streams troops into the region —. Those Kurdish forces are going to partner with the Syrian regime of Bashar al-Assad. This was brokered by the Russians. They literally change alliances within a few days. So suddenly, the force that he was fighting is on his side. So all of a sudden, Assad has gone from having what has essentially been a rebel-controlled region to having the rebels rely on him for support.

Right, your enemy, the people fighting you in your own country successfully with the help of the U. And he got it for free. The U. And the United States ends up pulling back. So what was an opportunity to go keep an eye on the Iranians and perhaps push back on their influence inside Syria, that leverage is all gone. But certainly if the United States is pulling back and is no longer going to be a presence in the country, the Iranians have to take that as one less toll on the highway.

But certainly, the image of the United States not having the stomach to keep a really small investment inside Syria sends a message to Tehran that rings loud and clear. The Middle East is all about power. And if you are detected to be weak, others are going to go make a move. So for all the United States has done to make life miserable for Iran — sanctions, sabotage, cyberattacks — the one thing they do with a physical military presence is they pick up and they pull back from contested territory. And the prediction was if the United States pulled back, we would re-empower ISIS and give them another shot at survival.

Three prisons holding thousands of ISIS members have come under attack in the last 24 hours. We visited a prison packed with 5, ISIS detainees. You know, there was one case where there was a camp that had thousands of family members of ISIS fighters, women, children.

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And about of them just walked away, walked out of the camp, earlier this week. They had more important priorities. So the reality is that the prediction has largely come true that ISIS members are either out, or on their way out, or have a good prospect of getting out. And that they have their best chance in a long time to go retake some territory or at least re-establish their power and a base from which they could begin to plan attacks again on the West. And, of course, not to take away your predictions here, David, but perhaps the most foreseeable prediction, slash, outcome was that this was going to be bad for the Kurds, bad for the people occupying this part of northeastern Syria that President Trump more or less invited Turkey to invade.

But I wonder, just how bad has it actually been, just how accurate was that prediction? Well, here, the prediction was off, because it turned out to be much worse than we imagined. There were some who said, Erdogan is just going to bring his forces in, in sort of a faux invasion. It would be about flexing muscles more than really taking territory. But it turned out that once the forces moved in, it uncorked all of the worst demons that have been sitting around in this region.

Eleven killed, more than 70 wounded. Film me. Among those slain, one leading Kurdish political leader, apparently dragged from her car and shot in the head. Nearly 70, children have been displaced since hostilities in northeast Syria escalated nearly a week ago. I have four children, two girls and two boys. Where should I go? I left the house a week ago. Where should I go now? And so the prediction was this would be really bad for the Kurds, but what it turned into was carnage for the Kurds.

David, we started this conversation with you saying that a series of predictions had come true. They came true faster and in a bigger way than anybody even imagined.

So why did he do this, Michael? I think it goes to a conflation in his mind between the concept of endless war —. And the conflation here is particularly damaging. We have a lot of places in the world, Michael, where we keep troops largely to keep the peace. The concept is, you keep Americans at strategic places around the world as a preventative for conflict. That in the end, it costs you a whole lot less to keep a small force that prevents conflict from erupting than to have to send in a big force and act after a huge terror attack, some kind of calamity hitting an American ally.

But David, would that mean keeping some kind of American force there in perpetuity, basically forever? Well, it might.

He, in fact, it sounds like, because there was this debate in the White House, was very aware of them. He simply, instead, he just prioritized the return of U. But the cumulative impact of every outcome that we have talked about in this conversation, David, feels like it has been bad for the United States in this moment. So unless you believe that bringing home U. This was a case where we had a system that was working. We had, essentially, an American protectorate going on in these Kurdish areas. We were doing it at low cost and nearly zero casualties. And in one week, we undid what was, essentially, seven years of effort to try to make this work.

So I view the situation on the Turkish border with Syria to be, for the United States, strategically brilliant. Our soldiers are out of there. Our soldiers are totally safe.

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The president went on to unexpectedly criticize Kurdish forces, who have fought alongside U. The Kurds know how to fight. If you take a look, you have to go back and take a look. Because of this decision and all the actions and inactions that led up to this decision, we have let our friends down. We have hurt our national security. And we have ceded leadership in the region to Russia and Iran. I hope we can change our course, but I fear it may be too late.

Russia expels foreign diplomats, closes U.S. consulate in St. Petersburg

Ambassador Sondland is a really important witness that they are going to hear from on Thursday because of the role that he played sort of at the center of this whole pressure campaign on Ukraine. Also on Wednesday, there was a big meeting at the White House between the president and the congressional leaders on Syria.

We were offended deeply by his treatment of the speaker of the House of Representatives. Which led to a huge blow-up between the president and the speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi, and the other Democratic leaders where he lashed out at everyone, very upset about the fact that the House had just voted resoundingly to condemn his decision to pull U. So it was a really nasty confrontation. He was insulting, particularly to the speaker.


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She kept her cool completely. But he called her a third-rate politician. He said that there are communists involved, and you guys might like that.

Soviets blockade West Berlin

I mean, this was not a dialogue. It was sort of a diatribe, a nasty diatribe, not focused on the facts. It was clearly a blow-up. The Democrats ended up walking out, and the president was basically saying, see you at the polls, and very indignant as they left. The United States has begun moving its troops onto bases elsewhere in Syria as the first stage in a near total withdrawal from the country.

On Tuesday, the United States and its international allies used a single tweet to announce their departure from Manbij, a contested area where they had sought to prevent fighting between their Kurdish-led militia allies and Syrian fighters backed by Turkey.

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Myles B. Caggins III, a spokesman for the coalition, wrote. The North Vietnamese were eager to reach a settlement before the American presidential election and subsequent removal of U. Hanoi made a breakthrough proposal in October and reached agreement with Kissinger rapidly. The South Vietnamese government balked, however, chiefly because the agreement preserved North Vietnamese control of all the territory Hanoi currently held. To turn up the political pressure on Nixon, the North Vietnamese began broadcasting provisions of the agreement.

Kissinger held a press conference announcing that "Peace is at hand" without giving away too many details. After the election, Nixon told South Vietnamese president Thieu that if he did not agree to the settlement, Congress would cut off aid to his government—and that conservatives who had supported South Vietnam would lead the way. He promised that the United States would retaliate militarily if the North violated the agreement.

To back up this threat, he launched the "Christmas Bombings" of When negotiations resumed in January, the few outstanding issues were quickly resolved. Thieu backed down. Nixon's policies vis-a-vis China, the Soviet Union and Vietnam are his most famous and controversial, but he left his mark on a host of other diplomatic matters.